Immigrants, authorized and otherwise, are less likely to commit serious crime or be sent to prison than are native-born Americans.
Thatâs according to numerous studies from groups as politically diverse as the Cato Institute, the Brennan Center for Justice, the Migration Policy Institute, the National Institutes of Health, the National Bureau of Economic Research and the American Sociological Association, among others.
That simple, statistically backed fact, is making the professional life of Charis Kubrin, a criminology professor at UC Irvine, both highly rewarding and potentially dangerous.
The reward side of the deal is this: In June, Kubrin is scheduled to go to Sweden to collect the prestigious Stockholm Prize in Criminology, an award sheâs getting specifically because of her long-term work on the intersection of immigration and crime. When the Stockholm Prize in Criminology Foundation announced its choice, late last year, it described Kubrin as a âmyth buster,â saying the data she and colleagues have reported over the past few decades has generated âan abundance of evidence disproving claims that immigration generally, let alone universally, raises crime in communities.â
And the potential danger?
That would be a particularly disturbing piece of real hate mail Kubrin received late last year after she was quoted in a news story about immigration and crime. The threat was part of a broader pushback Kubrin has felt as her work has become more public, and as everybody from President Donald Trump to heads of various government agencies have made fact-challenged claims about immigrant crime as a reason for mass deportations.
âImmigrant crime has always been divisive, as a topic, and itâs even more divisive now,â Kubrin said.
âIf Iâm on an airplane and Iâm working on my laptop to write up my next talk, and somebody looks over my shoulder, they want to talk about it. I can tell,â she added. âWhen I tell them what I do, it used to be, âOh, thatâs interesting.â Now, itâs sometimes a lot of very strong opinions.â
Kubrin isnât thrilled with the threats. She reported the recent over-the-top missive to the police, and has felt frustration and fear after receiving other, similar messages.
Still, Kubrin says itâs critical to make sure her work, and similar work by other criminologists, is publicized and discussed. In addition to writing about her findings (Kubrin is the author or co-writer of at least five books and dozens of scholarly articles), she makes a point of speaking to nearly any group that asks. Sheâs talked and answered questions in venues as diverse as brand-name universities and local Rotary clubs and at least one senior living home near UCIâs campus. Her audiences have been just as diverse, ranging from people who are sympathetic to immigrants and immigration, and others who believe many or all immigrants should be deported.
Critically, Kubrin says she would share the result of her work on immigration and crime even if the data showed that immigrants committed more crime than native-born people. Sheâs quick to note some immigrants do commit crimes, sometimes horrific ones, and that studying crime â who commits it and why â is important regardless of the criminalâs background.
But she also believes that immigration policy should be based less on anecdotes about individual immigrants committing lurid crimes, and more on research and science and data.
And the data on immigrants and crime compiled by Kubrin and many others over the past half-century shows, clearly, that immigrants, as a group, commit less crime than nonimmigrants. Itâs true of immigrants with permission to live in this country, and itâs true of the 13.7 million or so who live here without the proper paperwork. Itâs true in other parts of the world, where immigration has reshaped populations, and itâs been true for many decades.
The difference isnât trivial, either. The Cato Institute study found that the 2023 incarceration rate for native-born Americans was 1,221 per 100,000, nearly twice the rate for undocumented immigrants (about 613 per 100,000) and roughly four times higher than for legal immigrants (319 per 100,000.)
Kubrin, who was born and raised in Los Angeles, recently answered some questions about immigration and crime. She also talked about perceptions, and misperceptions, of the issue, and the perils she and others are facing as a result of talking about it.
A: âThe findings arenât surprising, at least not from the perspective of social theory. First, immigrants themselves are not a random cross-section of people; theyâre a self-selected group. ⌠Most are coming here to improve their life chances, usually by getting higher-paying work. That suggests theyâre goal-oriented, and thatâs not a trait associated with a propensity for criminal behavior.
âThereâs also another argument that there are protective effects of living in immigrant enclaves. There are strong ties among residents, extensive social networks, informal social control. ⌠A lot of those factors play a role as well.â
A: âItâs true that a lot of the (crime) data collected often doesnât differentiate between native-born and foreign-born offenders, or between documented and undocumented. But we can look at crime data in different communities, and compare the numbers with census data (which does include immigration status) for those communities, to determine crime rates by immigrant and nonimmigrant communities. So we use all of it, crime data, census data and regression analysis.
âAlso, people have done work in jurisdictions where crime data and immigration data both collected. In Texas, for example, (crime researcher) Michael Light has looked at data that shows, unequivocally, that foreign-born people â including undocumented people â are less likely to engage in crime.
âWeâre not guessing.â
A: âItâs not just Americans. Resistance to this idea seems to be consistent whenever, and wherever, immigration has been big enough to shape societies.
âAs to why itâs so stubborn right now, Iâd say media has a lot to do with it. Some media outlets use individual events, as horrific as they are, to tell a story about the broader group. ⌠You never see a headline âNative-born American kills again.â But you do see news coverage of crime that focuses on the perpetratorâs immigration status. That shapes peopleâs views.â
âNot enough traction. According to a (2024) Pew Survey, when asked about the impact of the recent migrant influx on crime in the U.S., a majority (57%) of Americans said the large number of migrants seeking to enter the country leads to more crime.â
A: âIâm always being asked, by all kinds of groups, and I welcome that. The work is not done when the science is done. You have to go out and do something with the findings. Academics have a role to play in the discussion; not the whole discussion, of course, but the results of research should be part of the conversation.
âThat said, real change happens outside academia.â
A: âItâs important because the facts have been crowded out by the rhetoric.
âBut, also, imagine what might be accomplished if we stopped our rabid obsession with immigrant crime? Weâre starting with a âproblemâ that isnât actually a problem. But what would happen if we focused on a true crime problem: gender-based violence, corporate fraud, mass shootings? Weâre investing resources in a way that doesnât make sense, at least not if youâre trying to reduce crime.
âThe people I talk to, ultimately, are voters. And theyâre policy makers. If they have better facts, that might influence policy.â
A: âI talk with reporters all the time, and when a reporter will quote me Iâll get a rash of emails or phone calls. Many arenât violent, but in the (messages) that are violent thereâs an overlay that is very misogynistic and anti-science and anti-immigrant.â
A: âI do, and they are very refreshing. I donât keep score but if I had to guess, Iâd say itâs 70-30, hate mail versus kind words.â
A: âThe one thing I try and do, been doing this my whole career, is to simply focus on the research.
âI canât solve the immigration problem. What does the perfect immigration system look like? I donât know.
âBut what Iâm trying to do is to do my research, and do what I can to make sure research on this topic is part of the answer.â
âI want to share the data-driven findings on the immigration-crime nexus and immigration policyâs impact on public safety in the U.S.; sharing personal stories of my research journey and lessons learned along the way.
âI also want to tackle the question: âWhere do we go from here?âââ